KERLI - adult female, Pärnu County

[marika.solo]

AI - chat Gemini

Here is a summary of the weather conditions for the final leg of her journey from Africa back to the nesting site, specifically for the stretch between Latvia and Estonia:

Final Migration Stage: Weather Summary

_ Current Conditions: The weather in the Pärnu region is partly sunny with a temperature of 8°C (feeling like 5°C). While chilly, the lack
of precipitation is ideal for long-distance flight.

- Wind Factor: She is facing an easterly wind at approximately 11 mph (18 km/h). Since she is heading North-West, this acts as a slight crosswind. While not a direct tailwind to boost her speed, it is far more manageable than the strong headwind that delayed her yesterday.

- Visibility & Thermals: The clear, sunny skies are crucial. They provide the necessary visibility for navigation and help create thermal updrafts, allowing her to soar and conserve energy during these final 160–180 kilometers.

- Operational Outlook: Given that black storks can travel at speeds of 30 km/h or more, she only needs about 6 hours of active flying to reach the nest.

Conclusion
The "hormonal drive" you mentioned, combined with the low probability of precipitation (5%) and the break in the previous bad weather, creates a perfect window. Despite the cold air, the conditions are stable enough for her to complete this final sprint and occupy the nest before sunset.

Key takeaway: After the recent delays, today's weather acts as a "green light" for her return.

[marika.solo]

Kerli covered 194 km today but decided to settle for the night right at the Estonian border. She is likely resting after a long flight in chilly conditions. The final sprint to the nest will happen presumably tomorrow morning - it is already only about 60 km as the stork flies.!

(160–180 kilometres - falce calculation by AI geminin chat )